IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 28.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 19% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.7% — normal range
Effective IV 51.9% (ATM 29.7% + spread 11.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.93% (spread 11.10% + slippage 5.83%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 48.44 (vega 53.766 / spread 11.10%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 3.2% — balanced
Vol skew +64.6%, OI skew -3.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 55%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -27%, ATM: -4%, OTM: +4% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 8% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.1% — wide
OI 277,618 — deep
Volume 18,037/day — active
$0.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 22% — tighter than sector
Depth 88.4 contracts (bid:38.5 ask:49.9) — thin
Avg slippage 5.83% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 28% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 903.63 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.