IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 72.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.71x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 47% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.68x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.2% — normal range
Effective IV 176.9% (ATM 60.2% + spread 58.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 69.95% (spread 58.34% + slippage 11.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.12 (vega 6.543 / spread 58.34%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +13%
|OI skew| 32.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +21.9%, OI skew +32.0% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -18%, OTM: +68% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 17% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 58.3% — wide
OI 15,025 — adequate
Volume 64/day — thin
$2.92 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 138.60000000000002 contracts (bid:69.2 ask:69.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 11.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -31.6% — contango
IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity
IV kink -13.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 674.54 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.