IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.8% — normal range
Effective IV 70.1% (ATM 46.8% + spread 11.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 16.96% (spread 11.64% + slippage 5.32%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 33.50 (vega 38.998 / spread 11.64%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +0% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 20.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +16.7%, OI skew +20.3% — aligned
0-DTE 45%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -4%, ATM: +8%, OTM: -6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction +0 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.6% — wide
OI 635,503 — deep
Volume 40,665/day — active
$0.58 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 37% — tighter than sector
Depth 236.7 contracts (bid:121.6 ask:115.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.32% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 248.39 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 27d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +0% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.