AGFIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $11.2B|NYSE
● 2026-05-15$22.66
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +300.4%YTD +41.1%7D +3.7%
Options Vol
44,573
30D
Implied Move
±22.2%
IV Rank
46%
AG Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
3.7
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 85.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 79.7% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 100.5% (ATM 79.7% + spread 10.4% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 16.12% (spread 10.40% + slippage 5.72%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 2.97 (vega 3.089 / spread 10.40%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
6.2
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksNeutral - Strong signal (Conviction: -9%, Raw: -11%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -9% (neutral) — Raw: -11%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 30.2% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +56.2%, OI skew +30.2% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +54%, ATM: +16%, OTM: -33% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
4.3
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.8x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 4.0% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +7.7% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 72% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -9 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.7
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 10.4% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 1,113,716 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 44,573/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.52 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 568.9 contracts (bid:337.9 ask:231.0) — deep
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 5.72% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.7
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +6.6% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 4.4pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 106.14 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.3
bullishIV expensive, bullish flow
Long Puts4.5
bearishIV expensive, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put6.2
bullishIV rich premium, bullish flow
Covered Call5.3
bearishIV rich premium, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.