IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.51x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 75% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 84.6% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 113.1% (ATM 84.6% + spread 14.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 26.17% (spread 14.23% + slippage 11.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.13 (vega 0.188 / spread 14.23%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -34% (strong bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 42.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +95.7%, OI skew +42.9% — aligned
0-DTE 63%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +30%, ATM: -85%, OTM: +10% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 6% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.3x avg — hot
Vol/OI 30.3% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 96% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 84% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 61% — urgent
Conviction -34 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.2% — wide
OI 326,841 — deep
Volume 98,913/day — active
$0.71 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 86% — much wider than sector
Depth 508.4 contracts (bid:275.3 ask:233.1) — deep
Avg slippage 11.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.3% — contango
IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
IV kink -12.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.43 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -34% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 114 (ITM 20% + inst 84%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.