IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 10.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 15% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.2% — normal range
Effective IV 73.3% (ATM 25.2% + spread 24.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 31.97% (spread 24.04% + slippage 7.93%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.80 (vega 9.124 / spread 24.04%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +39% (strong bullish) — Raw: +48%
|OI skew| 8.1% — balanced
Vol skew -64.4%, OI skew +8.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 58%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +44%, ATM: +71%, OTM: -24% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 96% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 9% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 30% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +39 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 24.0% — wide
OI 107,106 — deep
Volume 1,029/day — adequate
$1.20 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 19% — much tighter than sector
Depth 127.6 contracts (bid:68.8 ask:58.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.93% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.3% — contango
IV percentile 11% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 278.19 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +39% @ 70% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.