IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 68.4% — normal range
Effective IV 90.2% (ATM 68.4% + spread 10.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.93% (spread 10.92% + slippage 5.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.81 (vega 15.078 / spread 10.92%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -23% (bearish) — Raw: -29%
|OI skew| 12.3% — balanced
Vol skew +14.8%, OI skew -12.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 13%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: -15%, OTM: -34% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 55% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 1% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction -23 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.9% — wide
OI 228,005 — deep
Volume 10,314/day — active
$0.55 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 100.9 contracts (bid:55.3 ask:45.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 45.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -23% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 31 (ITM 20% + inst 1%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.