IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.86x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.58x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 90.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 101.6% (ATM 90.4% + spread 5.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 8.69% (spread 5.61% + slippage 3.08%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 63.50 (vega 35.626 / spread 5.61%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -0%
|OI skew| 3.8% — balanced
Vol skew +32.7%, OI skew +3.8% — aligned
0-DTE 66%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -13%, ATM: -7%, OTM: +2% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.4x avg — hot
Vol/OI 29.8% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +26.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 98% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 11% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.6% — wide
OI 425,369 — deep
Volume 126,753/day — active
$0.28 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 70.9 contracts (bid:32.7 ask:38.2) — thin
Avg slippage 3.08% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +57.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink 30.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 38.83 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 41 (ITM 20% + inst 11%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.