bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 37.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.39x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 62% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.4% — normal range
Effective IV 164.4% (ATM 31.4% + spread 66.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 98.39% (spread 66.49% + slippage 31.90%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 11.73 (vega 77.987 / spread 66.49%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -64% (strong bearish) — Raw: -72%
|OI skew| 19.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew -10.5%, OI skew +19.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 86%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -70% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 75% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 15% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 10% — patient
Conviction -64 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 66.5% — wide
OI 6,604 — thin
Volume 76/day — thin
$3.32 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 63% — wider than sector
Depth 29.1 contracts (bid:9.3 ask:19.8) — thin
Avg slippage 31.90% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 37% — neutral
IV kink -0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 396.88 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -64% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.