APHAmphenol Corporation
APH Options Overview
IV is elevated with bearish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
APH Gamma Walls
APH Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where APH sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.06) — near-dated vol is priced 13% below far-dated, and downside puts carry 0.3 IV points more than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 25-trading-day realized moves (479 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.94): it is trading 7% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 81.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 44% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 45.2% — normal range
Effective IV 61.4% (ATM 45.2% + spread 8.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 12.14% (spread 8.08% + slippage 4.06%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 20.33 (vega 16.423 / spread 8.08%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +33% (strong bullish) — Raw: +36%
|OI skew| 4.5% — balanced
Vol skew -51.9%, OI skew +4.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +32%, ATM: -34%, OTM: +38% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.8x avg — hot
Vol/OI 10.8% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +104.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 80% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 81% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +33 (bullish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.1% — wide
OI 273,695 — deep
Volume 29,591/day — active
$0.40 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 124.4 contracts (bid:63.7 ask:60.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.06% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -13.0% — contango
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 386.42 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +33% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 111 (ITM 20% + inst 81%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.