IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.29x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.18x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 125.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 176.7% (ATM 125.0% + spread 25.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 32.45% (spread 25.86% + slippage 6.59%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.67 (vega 1.742 / spread 25.86%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +11%
|OI skew| 60.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +87.0%, OI skew +60.6% — aligned
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +17%, ATM: +32%, OTM: +5% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 11% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.9% — wide
OI 182,930 — deep
Volume 5,615/day — active
$1.29 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 2,081.7 contracts (bid:1,214.5 ask:867.2) — deep
Avg slippage 6.59% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +18.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 16.4pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 405.12 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 0d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.