ASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Options Analysis Report•COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC
Market Cap $24.8B|NASDAQ
● 2026-05-15$83.01
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +216.3%YTD -0.6%7D +10.6%
Options Vol
293,021
30D
Implied Move
±29.8%
IV Rank
42%
ASTS Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
3.6
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 93.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 90% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.02x — flat
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 108.0% — crisis-level IV
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 123.7% (ATM 108.0% + spread 7.8% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 10.95% (spread 7.83% + slippage 3.12%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 10.20 (vega 7.989 / spread 7.83%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
6.6
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: +2%, Raw: +6%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +6%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 43.5% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +48.5%, OI skew +43.5% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +19%, ATM: -7%, OTM: +8% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
6.2
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 1.5x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 21.6% — high turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +17.7% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
5.3
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 7.8% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 1,358,747 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 293,021/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.39 to cross — cheap
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 304.8 contracts (bid:153.4 ask:151.4) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 3.12% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.1
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +1.6% — flat/unclear
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 1.5pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 39.89 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.4
bullishIV expensive, bullish flow
Long Puts4.3
bearishIV expensive, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put6.4
bullishIV rich premium, bullish flow
Covered Call5.2
bearishIV rich premium, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.