IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.70x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 51.2% — normal range
Effective IV 61.8% (ATM 51.2% + spread 5.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 9.68% (spread 5.29% + slippage 4.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 371.91 (vega 196.738 / spread 5.29%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 3.9% — balanced
Vol skew +21.5%, OI skew -3.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +28%, ATM: +12%, OTM: -3% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 38% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.3% — wide
OI 2,310,156 — deep
Volume 261,063/day — active
$0.26 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Depth 197.60000000000002 contracts (bid:100.4 ask:97.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2328.26 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.