AXTIAXT Inc
Options Analysis Report•SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
Market Cap $7.5B|NASDAQ
● 2026-05-15$114.98
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +7829.7%YTD +586.0%7D -1.2%
Options Vol
26,675
30D
Implied Move
±43.1%
IV Rank
58%
AXTI Options Overview
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
3.0
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 98.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 155.6% — crisis-level IV
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 187.4% (ATM 155.6% + spread 15.9% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 24.88% (spread 15.92% + slippage 8.96%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 6.88 (vega 10.952 / spread 15.92%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
4.8
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +15%, Raw: +5%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +5%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 2.0% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew -16.8%, OI skew +2.0% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +25%, ATM: +15%, OTM: -6% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 89% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
4.4
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.7x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 8.4% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +25.5% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 38% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
3.6
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 15.9% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 317,499 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 26,675/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.80 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 267.79999999999995 contracts (bid:172.2 ask:95.6) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 8.96% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
8.1
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +12.9% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 16.7pts — event priced
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 29.17 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 68 (ITM 20% + inst 38%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls4.5
bullishIV expensive, mixed flow
Long Puts4.6
bearishIV expensive, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.7
bullishIV rich premium, mixed flow
Covered Call5.9
bearishIV rich premium, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.