IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.3% — normal range
Effective IV 107.7% (ATM 47.3% + spread 30.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 33.78% (spread 30.19% + slippage 3.59%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.63 (vega 4.927 / spread 30.19%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -11%
|OI skew| 27.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +4.9%, OI skew +27.0% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -39%, ATM: +21%, OTM: -1% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 61% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 10% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 11% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 30.2% — wide
OI 100,290 — deep
Volume 820/day — adequate
$1.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 280.9 contracts (bid:148.3 ask:132.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.59% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.5% — contango
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 684.28 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.