IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 91% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 77.7% — normal range
Effective IV 102.0% (ATM 77.7% + spread 12.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 17.52% (spread 12.16% + slippage 5.36%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.01 (vega 2.442 / spread 12.16%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -39% (strong bearish) — Raw: -30%
|OI skew| 15.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -10.9%, OI skew +15.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -72%, ATM: -11%, OTM: -29% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -39 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.2% — wide
OI 48,176 — adequate
Volume 1,866/day — adequate
$0.61 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 580.0 contracts (bid:275.0 ask:305.0) — deep
Avg slippage 5.36% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 134.20 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -39% @ 70% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.