Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 37.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.85x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.4% — normal range
Effective IV 81.7% (ATM 31.4% + spread 25.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 35.67% (spread 25.16% + slippage 10.51%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.19 (vega 2.987 / spread 25.16%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 25.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +14.3%, OI skew +25.8% — aligned
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -50%, ATM: -7%, OTM: +10% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 24% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.2% — wide
OI 11,240 — adequate
Volume 154/day — thin
$1.26 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 37% — tighter than sector
Depth 90.3 contracts (bid:52.8 ask:37.5) — thin
Avg slippage 10.51% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 38% — neutral
IV kink 0.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.46 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.