IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 111.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 124.3% (ATM 111.3% + spread 6.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 11.89% (spread 6.48% + slippage 5.41%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 200.16 (vega 129.702 / spread 6.48%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 8.8% — balanced
Vol skew -18.9%, OI skew -8.8% — aligned
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +10%, ATM: +13%, OTM: +1% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 83% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 80% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 12% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.5% — wide
OI 840,435 — deep
Volume 71,003/day — active
$0.32 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 110.9 contracts (bid:53.3 ask:57.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.41% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink 14.0pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1428.43 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 42 (ITM 20% + inst 12%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.