IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 71% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 93.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 169.8% (ATM 93.1% + spread 38.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 52.89% (spread 38.37% + slippage 14.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.34 (vega 8.962 / spread 38.37%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -63% (strong bearish) — Raw: -56%
|OI skew| 59.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +13.4%, OI skew +59.4% — aligned
0-DTE 13%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -63%, ATM: -51%, OTM: -34% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 65% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -63 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 38.4% — wide
OI 17,041 — adequate
Volume 543/day — adequate
$1.92 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 86.5 contracts (bid:35.6 ask:50.9) — thin
Avg slippage 14.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 578.22 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -63% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.