BHPBHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
BHP Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
BHP Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 52.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 26% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.8% — normal range
Effective IV 44.8% (ATM 34.8% + spread 5.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 9.37% (spread 4.99% + slippage 4.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.56 (vega 9.262 / spread 4.99%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (neutral) — Raw: +15%
|OI skew| 4.2% — balanced
Vol skew +22.5%, OI skew +4.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: -52%, OTM: +26% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 61% — bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -11.7% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 36% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 53% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.0% — acceptable
OI 167,881 — deep
Volume 1,792/day — adequate
$0.25 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 57% — neutral vs sector
Depth 179.8 contracts (bid:92.5 ask:87.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.38% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 53% — neutral
IV kink -0.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 246.99 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.