
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 94.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.60x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.69x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 112.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 194.5% (ATM 112.0% + spread 41.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 46.75% (spread 41.25% + slippage 5.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.05 (vega 0.188 / spread 41.25%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 55.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +68.2%, OI skew +55.8% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: -37%, OTM: +12% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 30% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 41.2% — wide
OI 61,430 — deep
Volume 314/day — thin
$2.06 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 280.8 contracts (bid:163.3 ask:117.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -30.9% — contango
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink -21.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.56 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.