IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.57x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 69.8% — normal range
Effective IV 95.5% (ATM 69.8% + spread 12.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.41% (spread 12.84% + slippage 5.57%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.96 (vega 29.485 / spread 12.84%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 24.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +59.1%, OI skew +24.9% — aligned
0-DTE 29%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -10% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 35% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.8% — wide
OI 392,386 — deep
Volume 32,618/day — active
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 122.39999999999999 contracts (bid:58.3 ask:64.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.57% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +56.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 25.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 328.34 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 3d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.