AInvestOption Pilot Program
Options/BITB
B

BITBBitwise Bitcoin ETF

Options Analysis Report•COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
AUM $2.9B|ARCX
● 2026-08-31$42.09
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -30.2%YTD -13.7%7D -1.5%
86
30D
±10.7%
8%

BITB Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.3VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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BITB Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.5
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 64.6% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 80% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.86x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 40.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 89.7% (ATM 40.6% + spread 24.6% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 34.63% (spread 24.55% + slippage 10.08%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.49 (vega 6.108 / spread 24.55%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -10%, Raw: -7%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -10% (bearish) — Raw: -7%

≥15%

|OI skew| 60.8% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -9.3%, OI skew +60.8% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: +31%, OTM: -9% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 89% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

1.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +3.0% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 43% — patient

≥30

Conviction -10 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.6
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 24.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 11,354 — adequate

≥500

Volume 86/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.23 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 868.4 contracts (bid:209.9 ask:658.5) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 10.08% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -13.9% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 65% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -3.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 218.92 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -10% @ 56% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.0
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.2
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.6
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call4.7
bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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