IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 24.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.02x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.0% — normal range
Effective IV 48.0% (ATM 29.0% + spread 9.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 13.79% (spread 9.49% + slippage 4.30%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.37 (vega 6.996 / spread 9.49%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +21%
|OI skew| 9.4% — balanced
Vol skew +29.4%, OI skew +9.4% — aligned
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -7%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +32% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 34% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 51% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.5% — wide
OI 622,341 — deep
Volume 8,218/day — active
$0.47 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 374.8 contracts (bid:209.9 ask:164.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.30% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 238.76 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.