unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 64.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.1% — normal range
Effective IV 57.3% (ATM 39.1% + spread 9.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 13.07% (spread 9.11% + slippage 3.96%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.51 (vega 5.928 / spread 9.11%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -32% (strong bearish) — Raw: -28%
|OI skew| 52.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +7.7%, OI skew +52.6% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -67%, ATM: +1%, OTM: +1% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 75% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -32 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.1% — wide
OI 422,048 — deep
Volume 24,927/day — active
$0.46 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector
Depth 382.8 contracts (bid:205.0 ask:177.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.96% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.7% — contango
IV percentile 64% — neutral
IV kink -1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 143.88 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -32% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 105 (ITM 20% + inst 75%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.