Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 43.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 75% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.8% — normal range
Effective IV 45.1% (ATM 33.8% + spread 5.6% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 7.75% (spread 5.64% + slippage 2.11%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.30 (vega 14.269 / spread 5.64%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -11% (bearish) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 3.1% — balanced
Vol skew +15.6%, OI skew +3.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +46%, ATM: -11%, OTM: -14% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 43% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 30% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -11 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.6% — wide
OI 1,482,049 — deep
Volume 41,063/day — active
$0.28 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 328.2 contracts (bid:161.0 ask:167.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.11% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 44% — neutral
IV kink 1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 184.60 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -11% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.