IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.70x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.22x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 121.6% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 182.1% (ATM 121.6% + spread 30.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 37.76% (spread 30.26% + slippage 7.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.87 (vega 8.672 / spread 30.26%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -36% (strong bearish) — Raw: -33%
|OI skew| 38.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +75.7%, OI skew +38.5% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -12%, ATM: -30%, OTM: -33% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.0x avg — hot
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 70% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 37% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -36 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 30.3% — wide
OI 84,809 — deep
Volume 3,274/day — adequate
$1.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 83.4 contracts (bid:37.2 ask:46.2) — thin
Avg slippage 7.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +21.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 35.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 369.00 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 67 (ITM 20% + inst 37%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.