IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 18.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.65x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.70x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.3% — normal range
Effective IV 46.0% (ATM 27.3% + spread 9.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 19.18% (spread 9.34% + slippage 9.84%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 206.23 (vega 192.616 / spread 9.34%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -31% (strong bearish) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 13.7% — balanced
Vol skew +4.4%, OI skew +13.7% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -60%, ATM: -30%, OTM: +25% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 60% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction -31 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.3% — wide
OI 33,739 — adequate
Volume 1,199/day — adequate
$0.47 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 32% — tighter than sector
Depth 44.599999999999994 contracts (bid:26.2 ask:18.4) — thin
Avg slippage 9.84% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -29.6% — contango
IV percentile 19% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -6.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3697.05 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -31% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.