IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 73.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.73x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 65% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 62.2% — normal range
Effective IV 92.3% (ATM 62.2% + spread 15.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 20.24% (spread 15.04% + slippage 5.20%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.04 (vega 3.062 / spread 15.04%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -27% (bearish) — Raw: -23%
|OI skew| 44.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +68.9%, OI skew +44.7% — aligned
0-DTE 67%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -26%, ATM: -4%, OTM: -11% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 30% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 44% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 10% — patient
Conviction -27 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.0% — wide
OI 73,456 — deep
Volume 2,225/day — adequate
$0.75 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 391.4 contracts (bid:268.4 ask:123.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.20% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 74% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 114.67 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -27% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 74 (ITM 20% + inst 44%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.