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CDNSCadence Design Systems

Options Analysis ReportSERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
Market Cap $78.5B|NASDAQ
2026-09-11$284.95
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y -19.7%YTD -8.2%7D -2.6%
2,658
30D
±11.6%
21%

CDNS Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.6VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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CDNS Gamma Walls

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CDNS Hedge Radar

Hedge window open
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where CDNS sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.95) — downside puts carry 0.0 IV points more than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 12% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.98): it is trading 8% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.95/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
6.98/ 10fragile
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

6.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 80.1% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 40% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.88x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 44.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 65.0% (ATM 44.4% + spread 10.3% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 16.82% (spread 10.30% + slippage 6.52%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 47.49 (vega 48.910 / spread 10.30%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.9
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +46%, Raw: +30%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +46% (strong bullish) — Raw: +30%

≥15%

|OI skew| 8.0% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -32.7%, OI skew +8.0% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +84%, ATM: -12%, OTM: -9% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.7x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 4.0% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +3.4% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 41% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 30% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 25% — patient

≥30

Conviction +46 (bullish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 10.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 66,575 — deep

≥500

Volume 2,658/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.52 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 42% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 21.5 contracts (bid:11.4 ask:10.1) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.52% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.1
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -11.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -3.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 291.31 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +46% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.1
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.5
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.9
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.3
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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