IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.9% — normal range
Effective IV 70.4% (ATM 44.9% + spread 12.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 20.55% (spread 12.76% + slippage 7.79%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 87.26 (vega 111.342 / spread 12.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -19% (bearish) — Raw: -37%
|OI skew| 10.1% — balanced
Vol skew -6.9%, OI skew +10.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +85%, ATM: +14%, OTM: -55% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 14% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -19 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.8% — wide
OI 160,704 — deep
Volume 3,988/day — adequate
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 34% — tighter than sector
Depth 62.300000000000004 contracts (bid:28.1 ask:34.2) — thin
Avg slippage 7.79% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 75% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 944.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -19% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.