CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Options Analysis Report•ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
Market Cap $18.8B|NASDAQ
● 2026-05-15$159.78
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +61.8%YTD -2.4%7D -6.8%
Options Vol
4,333
30D
Implied Move
±8.6%
IV Rank
50%
CHRW Options Overview
bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
4.9
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 68.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.99x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 76% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.91x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 41.9% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 83.5% (ATM 41.9% + spread 20.8% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 36.48% (spread 20.82% + slippage 15.66%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 9.46 (vega 19.688 / spread 20.82%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
2.3
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -60%, Raw: -52%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -60% (strong bearish) — Raw: -52%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 45.8% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew -76.0%, OI skew +45.8% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 69%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: -81%, ATM: +31%, OTM: -32% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 95% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
5.9
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 2.9x avg — hot
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 7.4% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 47% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -60 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
3.0
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 20.8% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 58,807 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 4,333/day — adequate
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$1.04 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 50.7 contracts (bid:17.5 ask:33.2) — thin
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 15.66% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
8.0
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -9.1% — contango
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 69% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink -1.7pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 193.97 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -60% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 77 (ITM 20% + inst 47%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls4.2
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts6.1
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.1
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.9
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.