CIThe Cigna Group
CI Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CI Gamma Walls
CI Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where CI sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.3) — near-dated vol is priced 15% below far-dated, and downside puts carry 0.1 IV points more than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.8): it is trading 1% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 41.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.43x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 36% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.85x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.5% — normal range
Effective IV 52.5% (ATM 30.5% + spread 11.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.37% (spread 10.98% + slippage 5.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.38 (vega 15.793 / spread 10.98%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -24% (bearish) — Raw: -27%
|OI skew| 29.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +49.3%, OI skew +29.2% — aligned
0-DTE 11%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +65%, ATM: -43%, OTM: -30% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction -24 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.0% — wide
OI 88,954 — deep
Volume 1,381/day — adequate
$0.55 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 42% — neutral vs sector
Depth 41.400000000000006 contracts (bid:19.8 ask:21.6) — thin
Avg slippage 5.39% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -15.5% — contango
IV percentile 41% — neutral
IV kink -3.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 67.03 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -24% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.