IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.29x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 93.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 119.0% (ATM 93.8% + spread 12.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 20.44% (spread 12.58% + slippage 7.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 175.95 (vega 221.340 / spread 12.58%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 3.8% — balanced
Vol skew +11.4%, OI skew +3.8% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -24%, OTM: -10% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 65% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 20.2% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.6% — wide
OI 76,260 — deep
Volume 15,403/day — active
$0.63 to cross — expensive
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 59.599999999999994 contracts (bid:31.2 ask:28.4) — thin
Avg slippage 7.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +29.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 21.7pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1726.52 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: No earnings detected; FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.