IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 73% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 88.5% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 119.1% (ATM 88.5% + spread 15.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 32.72% (spread 15.31% + slippage 17.41%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.31 (vega 64.779 / spread 15.31%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -11% (bearish) — Raw: -15%
|OI skew| 12.1% — balanced
Vol skew +5.7%, OI skew +12.1% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +11%, ATM: +3%, OTM: -21% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 73% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 10.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +29.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 1% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction -11 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.3% — wide
OI 101,229 — deep
Volume 10,874/day — active
$0.77 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 75.1 contracts (bid:41.6 ask:33.5) — thin
Avg slippage 17.41% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 116.01 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -11% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 31 (ITM 20% + inst 1%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.