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CMPSCOMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares

Options Analysis ReportPHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
Market Cap $2.0B|NASDAQ
2026-09-11$14.22
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +171.4%YTD +117.1%7D +7.2%
2,108
30D
±8.6%
0%

CMPS Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.3VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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CMPS Gamma Walls

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CMPS Hedge Radar

Hedge window open
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where CMPS sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.61) — near-dated vol is priced 15% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 0th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.62): it is trading 14% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, a name whose wall relationship is measured as inverted, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.61/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
6.62/ 10fragile
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

5.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 89.8% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 72% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.96x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 76.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 114.9% (ATM 76.1% + spread 19.4% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 26.78% (spread 19.39% + slippage 7.39%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.85 (vega 3.586 / spread 19.39%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

7.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +29%, Raw: +21%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +29% (bullish) — Raw: +21%

≥15%

|OI skew| 65.9% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +71.5%, OI skew +65.9% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +14%, ATM: +56%, OTM: +12% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.7
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.5x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +8.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 54% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 42% — patient

≥30

Conviction +29 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 19.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 130,047 — deep

≥500

Volume 2,108/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.97 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 165.6 contracts (bid:85.5 ask:80.1) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.39% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -4.3% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 3.1pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 381.45 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.8
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.2
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.8
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.1
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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