IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.28x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 79% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 106.2% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 168.8% (ATM 106.2% + spread 31.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 45.74% (spread 31.29% + slippage 14.45%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.10 (vega 0.325 / spread 31.29%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +47% (strong bullish) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 71.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +94.8%, OI skew +71.5% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -44%, ATM: +17%, OTM: -44% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 9% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 61% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 58% — patient
Conviction +47 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 31.3% — wide
OI 121,915 — deep
Volume 3,289/day — adequate
$1.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 91% — much wider than sector
Depth 631.9 contracts (bid:430.4 ask:201.5) — deep
Avg slippage 14.45% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 135.50 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +47% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 91 (ITM 20% + inst 61%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.