IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 3.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 6.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.58x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 17.5% — normal range
Effective IV 56.0% (ATM 17.5% + spread 19.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 34.98% (spread 19.27% + slippage 15.71%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 19.27%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +7% (neutral) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 49.7% — put-heavy
Vol skew -99.5%, OI skew -49.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +55% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 100% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 71% — urgent
Conviction +7 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.3% — wide
OI 46,190 — adequate
Volume 424/day — thin
$0.96 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Depth 60.5 contracts (bid:37.4 ask:23.1) — thin
Avg slippage 15.71% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -42.4% — contango
IV percentile 4% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -7.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.