IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 97% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 76.2% — normal range
Effective IV 93.6% (ATM 76.2% + spread 8.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 13.34% (spread 8.68% + slippage 4.66%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.03 (vega 36.481 / spread 8.68%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 14.2% — balanced
Vol skew +22.6%, OI skew +14.2% — aligned
0-DTE 45%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +36%, ATM: -16%, OTM: -0% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 12.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 93% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 1,269,432 — deep
Volume 157,164/day — active
$0.43 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 141.6 contracts (bid:70.1 ask:71.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.66% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 309.42 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.