IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.8% — normal range
Effective IV 92.6% (ATM 78.8% + spread 6.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.37% (spread 6.89% + slippage 3.48%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.31 (vega 5.040 / spread 6.89%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 30.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +67.5%, OI skew +30.8% — aligned
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -56%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +22% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 35% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 65% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 63% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 51% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.9% — wide
OI 2,055,090 — deep
Volume 137,859/day — active
$0.34 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 535.7 contracts (bid:326.9 ask:208.8) — deep
Avg slippage 3.48% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 227.03 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 93 (ITM 20% + inst 63%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.