IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 83% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.22x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 63.6% — normal range
Effective IV 101.1% (ATM 63.6% + spread 18.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.61% (spread 18.75% + slippage 5.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.50 (vega 2.806 / spread 18.75%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +26% (bullish) — Raw: +23%
|OI skew| 59.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +91.1%, OI skew +59.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +19%, ATM: +42%, OTM: +19% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 8% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 79% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 51% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +26 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.8% — wide
OI 838,903 — deep
Volume 38,578/day — active
$0.94 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 91% — much wider than sector
Depth 282.5 contracts (bid:167.0 ask:115.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +21.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 13.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 210.96 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 7d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 81 (ITM 20% + inst 51%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.