CPNGCoupang, Inc.
CPNG Options Overview
unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CPNG Gamma Walls
CPNG Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where CPNG sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.37) — near-dated vol is priced 12% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 16th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (5.92): it is trading 6% below its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 68.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.31x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 62% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.1% — normal range
Effective IV 74.4% (ATM 47.1% + spread 13.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 19.16% (spread 13.66% + slippage 5.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.03 (vega 1.404 / spread 13.66%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 62.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew -68.7%, OI skew +62.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -20%, ATM: +69%, OTM: -48% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.0x avg — hot
Vol/OI 10.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 85% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 78% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.7% — wide
OI 653,728 — deep
Volume 68,020/day — active
$0.68 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 449.3 contracts (bid:253.4 ask:195.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.50% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.3% — contango
IV percentile 68% — neutral
IV kink -6.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 83.09 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 108 (ITM 20% + inst 78%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.