bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 58.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 53% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.6% — normal range
Effective IV 74.1% (ATM 37.6% + spread 18.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 24.65% (spread 18.23% + slippage 6.42%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.23 (vega 2.235 / spread 18.23%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 12.7% — balanced
Vol skew -70.1%, OI skew -12.7% — aligned
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +48%, ATM: +84%, OTM: -79% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 60% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 74% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.2% — wide
OI 40,145 — adequate
Volume 1,889/day — adequate
$0.91 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Depth 115.7 contracts (bid:73.9 ask:41.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.42% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 59% — neutral
IV kink -0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.75 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 104 (ITM 20% + inst 74%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.