IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.31x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 56% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.5% — normal range
Effective IV 66.9% (ATM 54.5% + spread 6.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.93% (spread 6.22% + slippage 6.71%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 329.80 (vega 205.134 / spread 6.22%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +22.3%, OI skew +6.3% — aligned
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +13%, ATM: -5%, OTM: +8% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 57% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 7% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.2% — wide
OI 412,370 — deep
Volume 48,331/day — active
$0.31 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 57% — neutral vs sector
Depth 87.3 contracts (bid:40.5 ask:46.8) — thin
Avg slippage 6.71% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink -3.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1024.65 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 37 (ITM 20% + inst 7%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.