IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 26.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 16% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.3% — normal range
Effective IV 47.5% (ATM 29.3% + spread 9.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 15.20% (spread 9.10% + slippage 6.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.93 (vega 39.065 / spread 9.10%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 14.6% — balanced
Vol skew +34.8%, OI skew +14.6% — aligned
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +4%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.1% — wide
OI 404,025 — deep
Volume 24,369/day — active
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 19% — much tighter than sector
Depth 332.9 contracts (bid:146.9 ask:186.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.10% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.5% — contango
IV percentile 26% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2045.28 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.