Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 68.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.24x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 65% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.76x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.5% — normal range
Effective IV 153.8% (ATM 55.5% + spread 49.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 66.58% (spread 49.17% + slippage 17.41%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.96 (vega 9.613 / spread 49.17%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 18.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew -26.0%, OI skew +18.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: +31%, OTM: -13% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.5x avg — hot
Vol/OI 10.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 49.2% — wide
OI 264,627 — deep
Volume 27,147/day — active
$2.46 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 125.80000000000001 contracts (bid:75.2 ask:50.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 17.41% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +76.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 68% — neutral
IV kink 17.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1602.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.