CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
CZR Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CZR Gamma Walls
CZR Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced rich. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where CZR sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the rich band (6.52) — options are pricing vol 172% above what the stock has actually been realizing, and downside puts carry 68.3 IV points more than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.39): its realized-vol regime is contracting, and it is trading 0% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 2.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 3.31x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.47x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 9.8% — normal range
Effective IV 203.1% (ATM 9.8% + spread 96.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 111.63% (spread 96.63% + slippage 15.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.21 (vega 1.986 / spread 96.63%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +71% (strong bullish) — Raw: +68%
|OI skew| 46.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +77.5%, OI skew +46.9% — aligned
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -16%, ATM: +88%, OTM: +5% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 9% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.4x avg — hot
Vol/OI 4.2% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 66% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 54% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 11% — patient
Conviction +71 (bullish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 96.6% — wide
OI 224,200 — deep
Volume 9,434/day — active
$4.83 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Depth 84.9 contracts (bid:39.7 ask:45.2) — thin
Avg slippage 15.00% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +47.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 14.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 320.40 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +71% @ 85% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 84 (ITM 20% + inst 54%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.