Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 56.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.69x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.1% — normal range
Effective IV 81.6% (ATM 47.1% + spread 17.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 27.08% (spread 17.24% + slippage 9.84%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.02 (vega 10.373 / spread 17.24%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -12% (bearish) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 34.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +24.8%, OI skew +34.0% — aligned
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -94%, ATM: -12%, OTM: +27% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 57% — patient
Conviction -12 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.2% — wide
OI 57,829 — deep
Volume 979/day — adequate
$0.86 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 156.1 contracts (bid:105.0 ask:51.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.84% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.6% — contango
IV percentile 57% — neutral
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 293.86 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.