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DECKDeckers Outdoor Corp

Options Analysis ReportRUBBER & PLASTICS FOOTWEAR
Market Cap $10.9B|NYSE
2026-09-11$79.88
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y -32.2%YTD -25.2%7D -6.9%
6,571
30D
±11.3%
20%

DECK Options Overview

IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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DECK Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.5
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 77.1% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 82% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.86x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 42.3% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 62.1% (ATM 42.3% + spread 9.9% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 13.64% (spread 9.90% + slippage 3.74%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 7.78 (vega 7.703 / spread 9.90%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -47%, Raw: -34%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -47% (strong bearish) — Raw: -34%

≥15%

|OI skew| 8.6% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -24.5%, OI skew +8.6% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -29%, ATM: -74%, OTM: +25% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

5.8
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.5x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 11.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.5% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 36% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 32% — patient

≥30

Conviction -47 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.0
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 9.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 59,335 — deep

≥500

Volume 6,571/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.49 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 123.1 contracts (bid:65.5 ask:57.6) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.74% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -14.4% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -7.1pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 94.05 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -47% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 66 (ITM 20% + inst 36%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.5
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts6.8
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.1
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.7
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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