DHID.R. Horton Inc.
DHI Options Overview
IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
DHI Gamma Walls
DHI Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where DHI sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the fair band (4.8) — downside puts carry 3.1 IV points more than at-the-money, and options are pricing vol 40% above what the stock has actually been realizing, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.92): it is trading 8% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 90% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.24x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.5% — normal range
Effective IV 76.1% (ATM 44.5% + spread 15.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 22.81% (spread 15.82% + slippage 6.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.53 (vega 2.425 / spread 15.82%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +12% (bullish) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 9.3% — balanced
Vol skew -49.8%, OI skew +9.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 14%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +91%, ATM: -23%, OTM: -21% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.4x avg — hot
Vol/OI 8.6% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 70% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mixed
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction +12 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.8% — wide
OI 44,724 — adequate
Volume 3,824/day — adequate
$0.79 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 82.1 contracts (bid:41.1 ask:41.0) — thin
Avg slippage 6.99% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +23.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.90 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.