IV is low with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 21.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 7% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.6% — normal range
Effective IV 49.2% (ATM 28.6% + spread 10.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 13.21% (spread 10.28% + slippage 2.93%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.59 (vega 26.306 / spread 10.28%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +20% (bullish) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 18.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +9.6%, OI skew +18.4% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -74%, ATM: +21%, OTM: +6% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +20 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.3% — wide
OI 679,246 — deep
Volume 35,851/day — active
$0.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 24% — tighter than sector
Depth 246.8 contracts (bid:101.0 ask:145.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.93% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 21% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 910.24 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.