IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.69x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 81% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 91.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 106.8% (ATM 91.4% + spread 7.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.78% (spread 7.68% + slippage 5.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.26 (vega 3.273 / spread 7.68%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -25% (bearish) — Raw: -31%
|OI skew| 26.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew -18.1%, OI skew +26.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: +11%, OTM: -36% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +19.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -25 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.7% — wide
OI 134,639 — deep
Volume 6,762/day — active
$0.38 to cross — cheap
4 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 212.9 contracts (bid:109.4 ask:103.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.10% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink 5.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.81 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -25% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.