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DOVDover Corporation

Options Analysis ReportCONSTRUCTION, MINING & MATERIALS HANDLING MACHINERY & EQUIP
Market Cap $25.2B|NYSE
2026-09-11$187.37
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +5.2%YTD -4.3%7D -2.9%
170
30D
±8.6%
14%

DOV Options Overview

IV is low. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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DOV Gamma Walls

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DOV Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where DOV sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.5) — near-dated vol is priced 21% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 10th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 30-trading-day realized moves (474 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.31): its realized-vol regime is contracting, and it is trading 3% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability.

Protection cost
3.50/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
4.31/ 10neutral
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

7.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 25.3% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.39x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 25% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.96x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 27.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 70.6% (ATM 27.2% + spread 21.7% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 33.07% (spread 21.68% + slippage 11.39%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 10.53 (vega 22.821 / spread 21.68%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.1
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +50%, Raw: +45%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +50% (strong bullish) — Raw: +45%

≥15%

|OI skew| 61.8% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -40.0%, OI skew +61.8% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +100%, ATM: +89%, OTM: -20% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 84% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.5
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.3x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.7% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 20% — quiet vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 29% — patient

≥30

Conviction +50 (bullish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.2
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 21.7% — wide

≥10,000

OI 12,164 — adequate

≥500

Volume 170/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.08 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 31% — tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 40.7 contracts (bid:19.0 ask:21.7) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 11.39% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.4
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -3.7% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 25% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -0.9pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 237.47 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +50% @ 75% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls7.0
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.4
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.5
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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