DOWDow Inc.
DOW Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
DOW Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 43.4% — normal range
Effective IV 64.7% (ATM 43.4% + spread 10.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.25% (spread 10.67% + slippage 5.58%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.13 (vega 3.340 / spread 10.67%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 5.4% — balanced
Vol skew +37.0%, OI skew -5.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 10%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +75%, ATM: -28%, OTM: +6% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 41% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.7% — wide
OI 509,897 — deep
Volume 15,449/day — active
$0.53 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 336.29999999999995 contracts (bid:171.1 ask:165.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.58% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 120.58 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 71 (ITM 20% + inst 41%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.